Bob Baffert will be heavily expected to train the winner of the G1 California Crown Stakes this weekend when making a prediction.

The horse racing Hall of Famer saddles both National Treasure and Muth in the race at Santa Anita, with both holding obvious claims in a stacked field.

Senor Buscador also has big-race wins to his name and could have a role to play.

Offshore Odds: National Treasure Narrowly Preferred to Stablemate

[Latest odds taken from bet365 at 8:17 am on 09.27.24]

Horse Odds
National Treasure +162
Muth +187
Senor Buscador +500
Newgate +800
Subsanador +1200
Indispensable +3300
Katonah +3300
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California Crown Stakes Recent Winners

Year Winning Horse Winning Jockey Winning Trainer
2023 Slow Down Andy Mario Gutierrez Doug O’Neill
2022 Defunded Edwin Maldonado Bob Baffert
2021 Medina Spirit John Velazquez Bob Baffert
2020 Improbable Drayden Van Dyke Bob Baffert
2019 Mongolian Groom Abel Cedillo Enebish Ganbat

California Crown Stakes: Race Information

Information Stats
Track Santa Anita
Classification Grade One
First Held 1982
Race Distance 1 1/8 Miles
Race Conditions Three-Year-Olds +
Purse $1,000,000
Most Successful Jockey Gary Stevens (5)
Most Successful Trainer Bob Baffert (8)

Baffert Holds Two Leading Chances

Unsurprisingly, Bob Baffert runners dominate the betting, with the Hall of Famer chasing a ninth win in the race. National Treasure is narrowly preferred.

But, he will need to return to form after a sub-par run in the G1 Whitney when finishing sixth of ten. Was solid over a mile prior to that effort when landing the G1 Met Mile. Concerns surrounding his ability over this trip are glaring.

I’m incredibly surprised Muth is the outsider of the Baffert runners this weekend. The three-year-old has looked a potential superstar throughout his career, and has been campaigned with the Classic in mind this term.

He was dominant when winning the Belief Stakes earlier this month, and that run was perfect for getting the runner up to speed ahead of this Grade One effort.

Senor Buscador Overlooked Again

I must it, Senor Buscador is one of my favorite horses in training. The six-year-old always gives his running, and has been no stranger to big race success after landing the G1 Saudi Cup earlier in 2024.

Ran to great credit when third in the G1 Dubai World Cup, before returning to action after a lengthy break with a subdued effort when fourth of eight in the G2 Pat O’Brien Stakes.

Likely needed that comeback run, and will be a must for exotics players this weekend.

Muth to Silence Doubters

The Breeders’ Cup Classic already has an open feel about it this year, and Muth could throw the betting into a frenzy on Saturday.

The Baffert runner was my pick for the Kentucky Derby, before runners from the yard were excluded following an update earlier in 2024.

His campaign this term is tailored toward these big purses at the end of the season, meaning I expect him to win at Santa Anita, before following up with a bold bid for Classic glory in November.

Pick
Muth to win
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Alex Dudley
Alex Dudley

Sports Analyst and Betting Expert

Alex has over 15 years of experience in sports betting, specializing in soccer and horse racing. He uses his deep knowledge of markets and strategies to guide readers through disciplined and informed betting.

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